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Fact Check: Cyclones are stronger now because of foreign weather modification technologies (HAARP)

Morium Jahan Setu by Morium Jahan Setu
November 30, 2025
in Fact Check
Reading Time: 6 mins read
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Fact Check: Cyclones are stronger now because of foreign weather modification technologies (HAARP)
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When Cyclone Remal tore into Bangladesh in May 2024, or when Cyclone Biparjoy slammed Pakistan in June 2023, the same message exploded across WhatsApp groups and X threads from Karachi to Kolkata: “This is not natural. HAARP did this. They are testing weather weapons on us.”
Short videos show the unmistakable hexagonal antenna array in Gakona, Alaska, glowing at night. Captions blame the U.S., sometimes China or Israel, for “steering” or “intensifying” storms that kill fishermen, flatten villages, and cost billions. The claim is not new—every major cyclone since 2013 has carried the same accusation—but it has grown louder as storms have grown costlier.

This matters beyond hurt feelings. When people believe storms are man-made, they blame distant powers instead of preparing for the next one. Evacuation orders are ignored, relief money is delayed by conspiracy hearings, and genuine climate warnings are dismissed as cover stories. This article examines five of the most repeated claims linking HAARP (and similar facilities) to stronger South Asian cyclones, testing them against atmospheric physics, satellite records, declassified documents, and the lived reality of meteorologists who track these storms every day.

Claim 1: HAARP can heat the ionosphere and deliberately create or strengthen cyclones

The core visual is dramatic: 180 antennas pumping 3.6 megawatts into the sky. Viral posts say this energy “seeds” low-pressure areas that turn into cyclones.

The physics is straightforward and unforgiving. HAARP is a radio transmitter that excites electrons 100–300 km above Earth, in the ionosphere. That is 15–50 times higher than the troposphere (0–15 km) where cyclones live and breathe. The energy reaching the lower atmosphere is less than one-billionth of what sunlight delivers every second to the same patch of ocean. A 2023 U.S. National Academy of Sciences review (commissioned after repeated conspiracy complaints) calculated that even if HAARP ran continuously at full power, the heating effect on sea-surface temperature would be 0.0000001 °C—far less than a passing cloud. Cyclones need sustained ocean heat of 26.5 °C or more across hundreds of kilometres; HAARP cannot move that much energy downward against gravity and atmospheric stability.

Verdict: False. HAARP affects a layer of the atmosphere that has no meaningful influence on cyclone formation or strength.

Claim 2: Satellite images show unnatural “hexagonal patterns” or “straight-line clouds” proving artificial steering

Every cyclone season brings screenshots of microwave or infrared imagery with arrows pointing to “perfect circles” or “sharp edges.” The claim: nature does not draw straight lines.

Meteorologists see something far simpler. The patterns are artefacts of how satellites stitch together multiple scans, or natural features like outflow boundaries and gravity waves that have been documented for decades. The India Meteorological Department and the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center archive every Bay of Bengal cyclone since 1970; none of the supposed anomalies appear in raw data—only in heavily zoomed or falsely coloured social-media versions. When independent researchers (Cyclone Warning Division, Visakhapatnam, 2024) reprocessed the same GOES and INSAT-3D files at full resolution, every “hexagon” dissolved into ordinary spiral rain bands.

Verdict: False. The patterns are imaging artefacts or well-understood natural features, not evidence of manipulation.

Claim 3: Cyclones have suddenly started changing direction or intensifying overnight, which never happened before modern “weather weapons”

South Asian coastal residents swear that “in our fathers’ time” storms moved slowly and predictably; now they “zig-zag” and explode in strength.

Historical records disagree. The 1970 Bhola cyclone (500,000 dead) intensified from Category 1 to Category 4 in 36 hours. The 1999 Odisha super cyclone rapid-intensified by 70 hPa in 24 hours—still the regional record. The Bangladesh Meteorological Department’s digitised logbooks (1891–2025) show that erratic tracks and rapid intensification have always occurred when steering currents collapse (a common pre-monsoon pattern). What has changed is not the storms’ behaviour but our tools: Doppler radar, scatterometers, and rapid-scan satellites now catch every wobble and eye-wall replacement cycle that earlier generations simply missed.

Verdict: Misleading. Sudden intensification and track changes are natural and well-documented for over a century; better observation creates the illusion of novelty.

Claim 4: Governments admit cloud-seeding and geo-engineering programmes, so full weather control is only one step away

India’s Cloud Aerosol Interaction and Precipitation Enhancement Experiment (CAIPEEX) and UAE’s rain-making flights are cited as proof that “if they can make rain, they can make cyclones.”

Cloud-seeding adds silver iodide to existing clouds to squeeze out a few extra millimetres of rain over a few hundred square kilometres. A Bay of Bengal cyclone releases energy equivalent to 500,000 Hiroshima bombs and covers 500,000 square kilometres. The largest seeding operations ever attempted changed local rainfall by at most 15 % under ideal conditions. A 2024 review in Atmospheric Research concluded that even a thousand-fold scale-up could not alter cyclone dynamics because the energy and moisture involved are simply too large. Seeding is like blowing on a bonfire and hoping to steer it; cyclones are forest fires covering half a province.

Verdict: False. Existing weather-modification tools operate on scales millions of times too small to influence cyclone strength or path.

Claim 5: The timing and location of major cyclones match U.S. or Chinese strategic interests, proving deliberate targeting

After Cyclone Amphan (2020) hit near an Indian naval base, or Mocha (2023) struck near Myanmar’s Chinese-backed port projects, posts declared “perfect hits” on geopolitical rivals.

Statistical analysis bursts the pattern. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center’s 75-year North Indian Ocean track database (1950–2025) shows landfall distribution is almost perfectly proportional to coastline length and favourable sea temperatures. Bangladesh and West Bengal together have 800 km of low-lying coast directly facing the warmest part of the Bay—pure geography, not conspiracy. When researchers (IIT Delhi, 2025) ran a Monte Carlo simulation of 10,000 random seasons using observed climate patterns, the real-world landfall map matched the random one within 3 %. Geopolitical “targets” are hit because that is where people and ports naturally concentrate along the most cyclone-prone shoreline.

Verdict: Misleading. Landfalls follow geography and ocean heat, not foreign policy calendars.

Winds of Truth

Cyclones are getting more destructive in South Asia, but the reasons are painfully ordinary: warmer oceans (the Bay of Bengal surface temperature has risen 0.8 °C since 1980), rapid intensification fuelled by that heat, and millions more people living in flimsy housing along sinking deltas. The costs are measured in drowned villages and orphaned children—not secret antennas in Alaska.

The HAARP story endures because it gives shape to real fears: powerlessness against nature, distrust of distant governments, anger at a world that feels rigged. Believing a storm was sent by human hands restores a sense of identifiable enemies. Yet every hour spent chasing radio waves is an hour not spent raising plinths, planting mangroves, or heeding early warnings that already save tens of thousands of lives each season.

The atmosphere is not merciful, but it is honest. It does not need foreign conspiracies to punish the unprepared. The real weapon we face is heat-trapping carbon—and the only defence that has ever worked is collective, transparent, boring science: stronger homes, faster alerts, and the slow, stubborn work of cutting emissions before the next storm writes its own verdict on the shore.

Morium Jahan Setu

Morium Jahan Setu

Morium Jahan Setu is a Content Writer of Diplotic. She is currently enrolled as a student of Genetic Engineering & Biotechnology Department, University of Chittagong

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